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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-06

St Pauli – Heidenheim

Home 47% 2.13 fair
Draw 24% 4.12 fair
Away 29% 3.49 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.4% → 47.0% -4.4 pp
Draw 21.3% → 24.3% +3.0 pp
Away 27.3% → 28.7% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 64.6% → 56.1% -8.5 pp
Both teams to score 63.8% → 58.3% -5.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.32 → 2.94 -0.38
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.71 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.38 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.0% 2.13 —
24.3% 4.12 —
28.7% 3.49 —
71.3% 1.4 —
52.9% 1.89 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

42.5% 2.36 —
40.2% 2.49 —
17.3% 5.78 —

Half-time double chance

82.7% 1.21 —
57.5% 1.74 —
59.8% 1.67 —

Both halves

14.1% 7.11 —

HT/FT

32.2% 3.11 —
7.1% 14.04 —
3.2% 31.45 —
13.2% 7.56 —
13.8% 7.24 —
13.2% 7.57 —
3.4% 29.76 —
12.3% 8.15 —

HT/FT double chance

66.3% 1.51 —
61.8% 1.62 —
37.3% 2.68 —
44.3% 2.26 —
49.3% 2.03 —
25.9% 3.86 —
32.1% 3.12 —
40.4% 2.48 —
42.6% 2.34 —

Total goals

94.3% 1.06 —
78.7% 1.27 —
56.1% 1.78 —
34.0% 2.94 —
21.2% 4.71 —
43.9% 2.28 —
66.0% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Home team goals

81.1% 1.23 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Away team goals

71.6% 1.4 —
35.8% 2.8 —

Both to score

58.3% 1.71 —

Corners

78.7% 1.27 —
69.3% 1.44 —
59.1% 1.69 —
48.7% 2.06 —
39.1% 2.56 —
30.7% 3.26 —
40.9% 2.44 —
51.3% 1.95 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Home corners

78.5% 1.27 —
64.9% 1.54 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Away corners

66.2% 1.51 —
49.5% 2.02 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Cards

78.4% 1.28 —
61.1% 1.64 —
43.4% 2.31 —
28.4% 3.52 —
38.9% 2.57 —
56.6% 1.77 —
71.6% 1.4 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds