Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Greece / 2026-11-23

Asteras Tripolis – Aris

Home 28% 3.55 fair
Draw 28% 3.56 fair
Away 44% 2.29 fair
Expected Goals2.23
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.0% → 28.2% +0.2 pp
Draw 29.5% → 28.1% -1.4 pp
Away 42.5% → 43.7% +1.2 pp
Over 2.5 36.0% → 38.9% +3.0 pp
Both teams to score 42.6% → 44.2% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.14 → 2.23 +0.09
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.8 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.2% 3.55 —
28.1% 3.56 —
43.7% 2.29 —
56.3% 1.78 —
71.8% 1.39 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

19.6% 5.11 —
44.2% 2.26 —
36.3% 2.76 —

Half-time double chance

63.7% 1.57 —
80.4% 1.24 —
55.8% 1.79 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.34 —

HT/FT

14.6% 6.86 —
3.8% 26.53 —
12.0% 8.33 —
18.7% 5.34 —
13.5% 7.43 —
5.6% 17.83 —
29.0% 3.44 —

HT/FT double chance

49.1% 2.04 —
41.2% 2.42 —
37.1% 2.69 —
25.6% 3.91 —
46.5% 2.15 —
39.6% 2.52 —
38.0% 2.64 —
56.1% 1.78 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Total goals

89.3% 1.12 —
65.2% 1.53 —
38.9% 2.57 —
18.8% 5.33 —
34.8% 2.87 —
61.1% 1.64 —
81.2% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.3% 3.42 —

Home team goals

61.6% 1.62 —
25.0% 4.0 —

Away team goals

72.0% 1.39 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Both to score

44.2% 2.26 —

Corners

61.9% 1.61 —
50.2% 1.99 —
39.1% 2.56 —
28.8% 3.48 —
20.6% 4.86 —
49.8% 2.01 —
60.9% 1.64 —
71.2% 1.4 —
79.4% 1.26 —

Home corners

61.7% 1.62 —
44.3% 2.26 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Away corners

60.5% 1.65 —
42.9% 2.33 —
28.7% 3.48 —

Cards

85.9% 1.16 —
73.5% 1.36 —
59.3% 1.69 —
44.8% 2.23 —
26.5% 3.77 —
40.7% 2.46 —
55.2% 1.81 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds