Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-31 20:00
Barcelona – Alaves
Home
82%
1.22 fair
Draw
12%
8.65 fair
Away
6%
16.0 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
3-0
Barcelona – Alaves
FINAL
Actual Result
6–1
Barcelona – Alaves
Expected Goals3.71
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.572%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
80.5%
→
82.2%
+1.6 pp
Draw
12.4%
→
11.6%
-0.8 pp
Away
7.1%
→
6.2%
-0.8 pp
Over 2.5
69.3%
→
71.6%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
49.5%
→
49.8%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.59 →
3.71
+0.12
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
3-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.65 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.0 | — | |||
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — | |||
| 88.4% | 1.13 | — |
Half-time result
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.06 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.57 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.65 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.89 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.27 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — |
Total goals
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.56 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.85 | — |
Both to score
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Corners
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — |
Away corners
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — |
Cards
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds