Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-31 15:15
Vallecano – Celta
Home
37%
2.72 fair
Draw
29%
3.47 fair
Away
34%
2.91 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Vallecano – Celta
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Vallecano – Celta
Expected Goals2.28
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.8%
→
36.8%
-2.0 pp
Draw
27.8%
→
28.8%
+1.0 pp
Away
33.4%
→
34.3%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
42.2%
→
39.7%
-2.5 pp
Both teams to score
47.9%
→
46.7%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.36 →
2.28
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 12.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.6% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.8 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.4 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Total goals
| 89.8% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Both to score
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Away corners
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — |
Cards
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds