Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-30 20:00
Villarreal – Espanol
Home
65%
1.55 fair
Draw
20%
5.13 fair
Away
16%
6.31 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Villarreal – Espanol
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Villarreal – Espanol
Expected Goals3.06
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.5%
→
64.6%
-0.8 pp
Draw
18.5%
→
19.5%
+1.0 pp
Away
16.0%
→
15.8%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.6%
→
58.8%
-4.9 pp
Both teams to score
56.5%
→
53.0%
-3.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.26 →
3.06
-0.2
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.78 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.85 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.67 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — |
Both to score
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Away corners
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — |
Cards
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds