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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-24 19:00

Ath Madrid – La Coruna

Home 67% 1.49 fair
Draw 19% 5.24 fair
Away 14% 7.15 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-0 Ath Madrid – La Coruna
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Ath Madrid – La Coruna
Expected Goals3.1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 62.6% → 66.9% +4.4 pp
Draw 21.1% → 19.1% -2.0 pp
Away 16.4% → 14.0% -2.4 pp
Over 2.5 56.9% → 59.8% +2.9 pp
Both teams to score 52.5% → 52.2% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.97 → 3.1 +0.13
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

66.9% 1.49 —
19.1% 5.24 —
14.0% 7.15 —
86.0% 1.16 —
33.1% 3.02 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Half-time result

56.0% 1.78 —
34.1% 2.93 —
9.8% 10.16 —

Half-time double chance

90.2% 1.11 —
44.0% 2.28 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Both halves

27.1% 3.69 —

HT/FT

49.0% 2.04 —
5.4% 18.52 —
16.3% 6.14 —
11.1% 9.01 —
6.7% 14.86 —
5.6% 17.92 —

HT/FT double chance

81.8% 1.22 —
73.7% 1.36 —
24.9% 4.02 —
58.6% 1.71 —
57.9% 1.73 —
15.2% 6.57 —
31.6% 3.16 —
30.3% 3.3 —
26.0% 3.85 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
81.1% 1.23 —
59.8% 1.67 —
37.6% 2.66 —
18.9% 5.3 —
40.2% 2.49 —
62.4% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

74.6% 1.34 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Home team goals

88.8% 1.13 —
64.3% 1.55 —

Away team goals

58.9% 1.7 —
22.7% 4.41 —

Both to score

52.2% 1.91 —

Corners

75.4% 1.33 —
65.8% 1.52 —
55.9% 1.79 —
45.4% 2.2 —
36.0% 2.77 —
34.2% 2.93 —
44.1% 2.27 —
54.6% 1.83 —
63.9% 1.56 —

Home corners

81.6% 1.23 —
69.5% 1.44 —
56.9% 1.76 —

Away corners

53.2% 1.88 —
36.8% 2.72 —
23.8% 4.21 —

Cards

75.8% 1.32 —
60.0% 1.67 —
44.2% 2.26 —
30.9% 3.23 —
40.0% 2.5 —
55.8% 1.79 —
69.1% 1.45 —

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