Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-24 16:30
Valencia – Villarreal
Home
30%
3.37 fair
Draw
25%
3.95 fair
Away
45%
2.22 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Valencia – Villarreal
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Valencia – Villarreal
Expected Goals2.73
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.0%
→
29.7%
-0.3 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
25.3%
+1.3 pp
Away
46.0%
→
45.0%
-1.0 pp
Over 2.5
55.9%
→
51.1%
-4.8 pp
Both teams to score
58.1%
→
54.8%
-3.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.91 →
2.73
-0.18
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 6.6% | 15.08 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.5% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.83 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.57 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.52 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.55 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Both to score
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Corners
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — |
Away corners
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — |
Cards
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds