Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-24 12:00
Vallecano – Elche
Home
46%
2.16 fair
Draw
27%
3.75 fair
Away
27%
3.71 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Vallecano – Elche
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Vallecano – Elche
Expected Goals2.48
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.1%
→
46.4%
-0.8 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
26.7%
+1.2 pp
Away
27.4%
→
27.0%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
49.4%
→
44.9%
-4.5 pp
Both teams to score
52.1%
→
49.3%
-2.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.63 →
2.48
-0.15
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.0 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.57 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Both to score
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Corners
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
Away corners
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Cards
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds