Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-23 19:00
Alaves – Malaga
Home
67%
1.5 fair
Draw
21%
4.71 fair
Away
12%
8.2 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Alaves – Malaga
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Alaves – Malaga
Expected Goals2.5
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.8%
→
66.6%
+2.8 pp
Draw
26.8%
→
21.2%
-5.6 pp
Away
9.4%
→
12.2%
+2.8 pp
Over 2.5
28.4%
→
46.1%
+17.7 pp
Both teams to score
25.0%
→
39.9%
+15.0 pp
Expected Goals
1.84 →
2.5
+0.66
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.2 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.84 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.87 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.18 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.89 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.01 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Total goals
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — |
Away team goals
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.31 | — |
Both to score
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — |
Corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — |
Home corners
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Away corners
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — |
Cards
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds