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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-05

Virtus Entella – Empoli

Home 40% 2.51 fair
Draw 28% 3.56 fair
Away 32% 3.12 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.9% → 39.8% -1.1 pp
Draw 28.1% → 28.1% +0.0 pp
Away 31.1% → 32.1% +1.1 pp
Over 2.5 38.4% → 41.7% +3.3 pp
Both teams to score 44.1% → 47.9% +3.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.21 → 2.35 +0.14
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.81 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.8% 2.51 —
28.1% 3.56 —
32.1% 3.12 —
67.9% 1.47 —
60.2% 1.66 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

24.9% 4.02 —
47.9% 2.09 —
27.2% 3.67 —

Half-time double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
75.1% 1.33 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Both halves

8.8% 11.33 —

HT/FT

19.7% 5.09 —
3.8% 26.04 —
17.4% 5.76 —
18.5% 5.4 —
12.0% 8.31 —
5.7% 17.51 —
18.7% 5.35 —

HT/FT double chance

59.4% 1.68 —
50.4% 1.98 —
35.8% 2.8 —
32.0% 3.12 —
42.5% 2.35 —
29.6% 3.37 —
44.4% 2.25 —
50.9% 1.97 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Total goals

90.3% 1.11 —
68.2% 1.47 —
41.7% 2.4 —
20.9% 4.78 —
31.8% 3.15 —
58.3% 1.71 —
79.1% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

61.8% 1.62 —
25.3% 3.96 —

Home team goals

71.7% 1.4 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Away team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Both to score

47.9% 2.09 —

Corners

65.7% 1.52 —
54.7% 1.83 —
43.4% 2.31 —
33.1% 3.02 —
24.3% 4.11 —
45.3% 2.21 —
56.6% 1.77 —
66.9% 1.5 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Home corners

69.8% 1.43 —
54.3% 1.84 —
39.0% 2.56 —

Away corners

55.3% 1.81 —
38.6% 2.59 —
25.3% 3.95 —

Cards

82.7% 1.21 —
67.5% 1.48 —
51.1% 1.96 —
35.5% 2.82 —
32.5% 3.08 —
48.9% 2.04 —
64.5% 1.55 —

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