Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-05
Modena – Arezzo
Home
71%
1.4 fair
Draw
19%
5.38 fair
Away
10%
10.07 fair
Expected Goals2.64
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score38%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
78.1%
→
71.5%
-6.6 pp
Draw
13.7%
→
18.6%
+4.9 pp
Away
8.2%
→
9.9%
+1.8 pp
Over 2.5
68.3%
→
48.8%
-19.5 pp
Both teams to score
50.2%
→
38.5%
-11.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.51 →
2.64
-0.87
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.07 | — | |||
| 90.1% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Both halves
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.12 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — |
Total goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.31 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Away team goals
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — |
Both to score
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Corners
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Away corners
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — |
Cards
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds