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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-05

Mantova – Ascoli

Home 29% 3.49 fair
Draw 29% 3.47 fair
Away 43% 2.35 fair
Expected Goals2.2
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.2% → 28.6% -9.5 pp
Draw 27.7% → 28.8% +1.1 pp
Away 34.1% → 42.6% +8.4 pp
Over 2.5 42.2% → 37.7% -4.5 pp
Both teams to score 48.1% → 44.0% -4.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.2 -0.16
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.28 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.6% 3.49 —
28.8% 3.47 —
42.6% 2.35 —
57.4% 1.74 —
71.4% 1.4 —
71.2% 1.4 —

Half-time result

24.8% 4.04 —
48.2% 2.07 —
27.0% 3.7 —

Half-time double chance

73.0% 1.37 —
75.2% 1.33 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Both halves

5.5% 18.32 —

HT/FT

16.8% 5.94 —
5.6% 17.99 —
10.7% 9.33 —
19.5% 5.13 —
18.0% 5.56 —
3.8% 26.67 —
22.2% 4.51 —

HT/FT double chance

52.6% 1.9 —
47.9% 2.09 —
45.4% 2.2 —
27.2% 3.67 —
42.5% 2.35 —
33.9% 2.95 —
35.0% 2.85 —
52.0% 1.92 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Total goals

88.6% 1.13 —
64.3% 1.55 —
37.7% 2.65 —
18.0% 5.54 —
35.7% 2.8 —
62.3% 1.6 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

61.2% 1.63 —
24.9% 4.02 —

Home team goals

61.8% 1.62 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Away team goals

70.7% 1.41 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Both to score

44.0% 2.27 —

Corners

66.7% 1.5 —
55.2% 1.81 —
44.0% 2.27 —
33.9% 2.95 —
24.9% 4.02 —
44.8% 2.23 —
56.0% 1.79 —
66.1% 1.51 —
75.1% 1.33 —

Home corners

61.8% 1.62 —
44.9% 2.23 —
30.0% 3.33 —

Away corners

66.4% 1.51 —
49.9% 2.0 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Cards

89.6% 1.12 —
78.4% 1.28 —
64.2% 1.56 —
48.7% 2.05 —
21.6% 4.62 —
35.8% 2.79 —
51.3% 1.95 —

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