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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-05

Cremonese – Catanzaro

Home 53% 1.87 fair
Draw 23% 4.42 fair
Away 24% 4.18 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.9% → 53.5% +4.5 pp
Draw 23.5% → 22.6% -0.9 pp
Away 27.6% → 23.9% -3.7 pp
Over 2.5 57.3% → 57.2% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 58.8% → 57.0% -1.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.98 → 2.97 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.01 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.01 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.5% 1.87 —
22.6% 4.42 —
23.9% 4.18 —
76.1% 1.31 —
46.5% 2.15 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Half-time result

36.6% 2.73 —
36.4% 2.75 —
27.1% 3.7 —

Half-time double chance

73.0% 1.37 —
63.4% 1.58 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Both halves

17.3% 5.79 —

HT/FT

32.1% 3.11 —
3.6% 27.78 —
17.2% 5.8 —
12.7% 7.87 —
6.4% 15.6 —
4.1% 24.39 —
6.3% 15.8 —
16.6% 6.01 —

HT/FT double chance

65.7% 1.52 —
56.6% 1.77 —
23.6% 4.24 —
46.2% 2.17 —
53.7% 1.86 —
27.4% 3.65 —
40.4% 2.48 —
44.4% 2.25 —
42.1% 2.38 —

Total goals

94.8% 1.06 —
79.4% 1.26 —
57.2% 1.75 —
34.4% 2.9 —
20.6% 4.86 —
42.8% 2.34 —
65.6% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

77.6% 1.29 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Home team goals

83.6% 1.2 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Away team goals

68.2% 1.47 —
31.4% 3.18 —

Both to score

57.0% 1.75 —

Corners

64.2% 1.56 —
52.6% 1.9 —
41.4% 2.41 —
31.0% 3.23 —
22.4% 4.46 —
47.4% 2.11 —
58.6% 1.71 —
69.0% 1.45 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Home corners

71.3% 1.4 —
55.9% 1.79 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Away corners

50.9% 1.97 —
33.7% 2.97 —
20.5% 4.87 —

Cards

84.6% 1.18 —
70.2% 1.42 —
53.8% 1.86 —
38.6% 2.59 —
29.8% 3.36 —
46.2% 2.17 —
61.4% 1.63 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds