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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-05

Cesena – Carrarese

Home 42% 2.37 fair
Draw 28% 3.57 fair
Away 30% 3.37 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.5% → 42.3% -2.3 pp
Draw 27.3% → 28.1% +0.8 pp
Away 28.2% → 29.7% +1.5 pp
Over 2.5 43.1% → 41.7% -1.4 pp
Both teams to score 48.0% → 47.5% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.4 → 2.35 -0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.85 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.3% 2.37 —
28.1% 3.57 —
29.7% 3.37 —
70.3% 1.42 —
57.7% 1.73 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Half-time result

34.1% 2.93 —
45.6% 2.19 —
20.3% 4.93 —

Half-time double chance

79.7% 1.25 —
65.9% 1.52 —
54.4% 1.84 —

Both halves

10.5% 9.54 —

HT/FT

26.1% 3.83 —
5.8% 17.3 —
14.6% 6.86 —
18.1% 5.51 —
12.9% 7.76 —
4.1% 24.33 —
14.6% 6.84 —

HT/FT double chance

64.6% 1.55 —
55.8% 1.79 —
39.0% 2.56 —
37.6% 2.66 —
44.5% 2.25 —
26.7% 3.75 —
38.4% 2.6 —
43.6% 2.29 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Total goals

90.4% 1.11 —
68.3% 1.46 —
41.7% 2.4 —
20.8% 4.8 —
31.6% 3.16 —
58.3% 1.72 —
79.2% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

64.2% 1.56 —
27.9% 3.59 —

Home team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.7% 2.65 —

Away team goals

65.0% 1.54 —
28.1% 3.55 —

Both to score

47.5% 2.1 —

Corners

72.0% 1.39 —
61.4% 1.63 —
50.6% 1.98 —
39.9% 2.51 —
30.5% 3.28 —
38.6% 2.59 —
49.4% 2.02 —
60.1% 1.66 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Home corners

69.1% 1.45 —
53.6% 1.87 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Away corners

66.4% 1.51 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Cards

82.8% 1.21 —
67.8% 1.47 —
51.8% 1.93 —
36.3% 2.75 —
32.2% 3.11 —
48.2% 2.07 —
63.7% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds