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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-05

Avellino – Sudtirol

Home 43% 2.34 fair
Draw 28% 3.57 fair
Away 29% 3.42 fair
Expected Goals2.37
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.7% → 42.7% +4.0 pp
Draw 27.7% → 28.0% +0.3 pp
Away 33.6% → 29.2% -4.3 pp
Over 2.5 42.0% → 42.3% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 47.9% → 48.4% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.35 → 2.37 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.61 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.74 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.7% 2.34 —
28.0% 3.57 —
29.2% 3.42 —
70.8% 1.41 —
57.3% 1.75 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Half-time result

39.6% 2.53 —
43.6% 2.3 —
16.9% 5.93 —

Half-time double chance

83.2% 1.2 —
60.4% 1.66 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.42 —

HT/FT

29.6% 3.38 —
7.2% 13.85 —
12.0% 8.3 —
17.7% 5.64 —
13.8% 7.25 —
3.1% 32.36 —
12.7% 7.87 —

HT/FT double chance

66.6% 1.5 —
58.2% 1.72 —
41.5% 2.41 —
41.0% 2.44 —
46.1% 2.17 —
25.8% 3.88 —
33.9% 2.95 —
39.6% 2.52 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.11 —
68.6% 1.46 —
42.3% 2.36 —
21.9% 4.56 —
31.4% 3.18 —
57.7% 1.73 —
78.1% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Home team goals

73.6% 1.36 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Away team goals

65.3% 1.53 —
28.1% 3.57 —

Both to score

48.4% 2.07 —

Corners

59.9% 1.67 —
48.0% 2.09 —
37.0% 2.7 —
27.2% 3.67 —
18.9% 5.29 —
52.0% 1.92 —
63.0% 1.59 —
72.8% 1.37 —
81.1% 1.23 —

Home corners

64.0% 1.56 —
47.0% 2.13 —
32.2% 3.1 —

Away corners

53.9% 1.86 —
36.9% 2.71 —
23.1% 4.33 —

Cards

81.9% 1.22 —
66.3% 1.51 —
50.0% 2.0 —
34.5% 2.9 —
33.7% 2.97 —
50.0% 2.0 —
65.5% 1.53 —

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