Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-12-05
St Mirren – Hearts
Home
23%
4.36 fair
Draw
25%
3.99 fair
Away
52%
1.92 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
22.6%
→
22.9%
+0.3 pp
Draw
27.1%
→
25.1%
-2.0 pp
Away
50.3%
→
52.0%
+1.7 pp
Over 2.5
41.6%
→
47.3%
+5.7 pp
Both teams to score
46.0%
→
49.1%
+3.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.35 →
2.57
+0.22
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 4.3% | 23.36 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.3% | 6.55 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.11 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.87 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.27 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.58 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — |
Both to score
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
Home corners
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Away corners
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Cards
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds