Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-12-05
Motherwell – Kilmarnock
Home
58%
1.73 fair
Draw
22%
4.53 fair
Away
20%
4.97 fair
Expected Goals2.91
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
59.1%
→
57.8%
-1.3 pp
Draw
21.2%
→
22.1%
+0.8 pp
Away
19.7%
→
20.1%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
56.5%
→
56.0%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
54.1%
→
54.1%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.94 →
2.91
-0.03
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 19.8% | 5.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.38 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.67 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 12.95 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — |
Both to score
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Corners
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — |
Away corners
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — |
Cards
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds