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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-05

Yeovil – Hartlepool

Home 46% 2.19 fair
Draw 27% 3.75 fair
Away 28% 3.61 fair
Expected Goals2.55
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.6% → 45.6% +2.1 pp
Draw 28.3% → 26.7% -1.6 pp
Away 28.2% → 27.7% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 41.6% → 46.5% +4.9 pp
Both teams to score 47.1% → 51.0% +3.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.34 → 2.55 +0.21
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.6% 2.19 —
26.7% 3.75 —
27.7% 3.61 —
72.3% 1.38 —
54.4% 1.84 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Half-time result

30.6% 3.26 —
49.4% 2.02 —
19.9% 5.02 —

Half-time double chance

80.1% 1.25 —
69.3% 1.44 —
50.6% 1.98 —

Both halves

11.5% 8.73 —

HT/FT

23.8% 4.19 —
4.9% 20.49 —
19.2% 5.19 —
17.2% 5.81 —
13.0% 7.72 —
4.5% 22.03 —
12.8% 7.81 —

HT/FT double chance

65.2% 1.53 —
58.0% 1.72 —
37.0% 2.7 —
35.8% 2.79 —
41.1% 2.43 —
24.2% 4.14 —
43.6% 2.29 —
47.6% 2.1 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Total goals

92.0% 1.09 —
72.5% 1.38 —
46.5% 2.15 —
25.4% 3.93 —
27.5% 3.64 —
53.5% 1.87 —
74.6% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

58.9% 1.7 —
22.3% 4.49 —

Home team goals

76.7% 1.3 —
43.0% 2.32 —

Away team goals

66.3% 1.51 —
29.6% 3.37 —

Both to score

51.0% 1.96 —

Corners

76.3% 1.31 —
65.4% 1.53 —
53.9% 1.85 —
42.1% 2.37 —
31.9% 3.14 —
34.6% 2.89 —
46.1% 2.17 —
57.9% 1.73 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Home corners

79.1% 1.26 —
64.2% 1.56 —
48.4% 2.07 —

Away corners

61.9% 1.61 —
44.1% 2.27 —
29.3% 3.42 —

Cards

71.3% 1.4 —
52.5% 1.91 —
35.6% 2.81 —
21.7% 4.6 —
47.5% 2.1 —
64.4% 1.55 —
78.3% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds