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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-05

Worthing – Boston Utd

Home 61% 1.65 fair
Draw 19% 5.3 fair
Away 20% 4.89 fair
Expected Goals3.68
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.571%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 59.3% → 60.7% +1.4 pp
Draw 20.5% → 18.9% -1.7 pp
Away 20.1% → 20.4% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 63.8% → 71.2% +7.4 pp
Both teams to score 60.4% → 66.6% +6.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.29 → 3.68 +0.39
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.55 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.38 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

60.7% 1.65 —
18.9% 5.3 —
20.4% 4.89 —
79.5% 1.26 —
39.3% 2.54 —
81.1% 1.23 —

Half-time result

40.8% 2.45 —
33.6% 2.98 —
25.6% 3.9 —

Half-time double chance

74.4% 1.34 —
59.2% 1.69 —
66.4% 1.51 —

Both halves

22.9% 4.37 —

HT/FT

36.3% 2.75 —
3.3% 30.3 —
18.5% 5.41 —
9.3% 10.71 —
5.8% 17.3 —
5.9% 17.01 —
6.2% 16.03 —
13.5% 7.4 —

HT/FT double chance

67.4% 1.48 —
61.7% 1.62 —
19.6% 5.11 —
51.7% 1.93 —
56.9% 1.76 —
24.2% 4.13 —
39.9% 2.5 —
43.6% 2.29 —
34.9% 2.87 —

Total goals

88.3% 1.13 —
71.2% 1.4 —
49.8% 2.01 —
11.7% 8.55 —
28.8% 3.47 —
50.2% 1.99 —

1st-half goals

82.0% 1.22 —
51.4% 1.94 —

Home team goals

90.6% 1.1 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Away team goals

73.7% 1.36 —
37.7% 2.65 —

Both to score

66.6% 1.5 —

Corners

86.3% 1.16 —
78.2% 1.28 —
69.0% 1.45 —
58.3% 1.72 —
47.6% 2.1 —
21.8% 4.59 —
31.0% 3.23 —
41.7% 2.4 —
52.4% 1.91 —

Home corners

80.8% 1.24 —
67.0% 1.49 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Away corners

79.0% 1.27 —
64.7% 1.55 —
49.0% 2.04 —

Cards

77.4% 1.29 —
60.2% 1.66 —
43.0% 2.33 —
28.6% 3.5 —
39.8% 2.52 —
57.0% 1.76 —
71.4% 1.4 —

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