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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-05

Sutton – Fylde

Home 40% 2.53 fair
Draw 24% 4.11 fair
Away 36% 2.77 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.1% → 39.6% +0.5 pp
Draw 24.7% → 24.3% -0.3 pp
Away 36.2% → 36.0% -0.2 pp
Over 2.5 57.9% → 56.9% -0.9 pp
Both teams to score 60.9% → 59.7% -1.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.0 → 2.96 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.82 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.62 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.6% 2.53 —
24.3% 4.11 —
36.0% 2.77 —
63.9% 1.56 —
60.4% 1.66 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Half-time result

33.9% 2.95 —
39.0% 2.57 —
27.2% 3.68 —

Half-time double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
66.1% 1.51 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.45 —

HT/FT

25.2% 3.96 —
5.7% 17.64 —
12.1% 8.26 —
13.8% 7.25 —
13.1% 7.66 —
4.9% 20.49 —
20.0% 4.99 —

HT/FT double chance

56.8% 1.76 —
53.4% 1.87 —
35.5% 2.82 —
38.0% 2.63 —
50.5% 1.98 —
33.6% 2.98 —
33.0% 3.03 —
47.4% 2.11 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
79.5% 1.26 —
56.9% 1.76 —
34.4% 2.91 —
20.5% 4.87 —
43.1% 2.32 —
65.6% 1.52 —

1st-half goals

73.8% 1.36 —
38.6% 2.59 —

Home team goals

77.9% 1.28 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.3% 2.36 —

Both to score

59.7% 1.68 —

Corners

63.6% 1.57 —
51.0% 1.96 —
39.1% 2.56 —
28.4% 3.52 —
19.7% 5.07 —
49.0% 2.04 —
61.0% 1.64 —
71.6% 1.4 —
80.3% 1.25 —

Home corners

69.1% 1.45 —
52.2% 1.91 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Away corners

53.9% 1.86 —
36.1% 2.77 —
21.8% 4.58 —

Cards

80.1% 1.25 —
64.5% 1.55 —
47.8% 2.09 —
32.6% 3.07 —
35.5% 2.81 —
52.2% 1.92 —
67.4% 1.48 —

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