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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-05

Southend – Harrogate

Home 47% 2.13 fair
Draw 22% 4.51 fair
Away 31% 3.24 fair
Expected Goals3.42
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.2% → 47.0% +0.8 pp
Draw 22.5% → 22.2% -0.4 pp
Away 31.3% → 30.8% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 66.8% → 66.3% -0.5 pp
Both teams to score 66.9% → 66.1% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.44 → 3.42 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.11 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.69 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.0% 2.13 —
22.2% 4.51 —
30.8% 3.24 —
69.2% 1.45 —
53.0% 1.89 —
77.8% 1.28 —

Half-time result

49.8% 2.01 —
32.6% 3.07 —
17.7% 5.66 —

Half-time double chance

82.3% 1.21 —
50.3% 1.99 —
67.4% 1.48 —

Both halves

14.3% 7.01 —

HT/FT

36.5% 2.74 —
8.4% 11.89 —
4.8% 20.83 —
9.1% 10.99 —
10.8% 9.25 —
12.7% 7.89 —
13.4% 7.48 —

HT/FT double chance

64.8% 1.54 —
63.1% 1.58 —
36.7% 2.73 —
49.2% 2.03 —
56.1% 1.78 —
29.5% 3.39 —
24.2% 4.13 —
36.5% 2.74 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Total goals

96.7% 1.03 —
85.5% 1.17 —
66.3% 1.51 —
44.7% 2.24 —
14.6% 6.87 —
33.7% 2.97 —
55.3% 1.81 —

1st-half goals

80.7% 1.24 —
49.5% 2.02 —

Home team goals

85.0% 1.18 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Away team goals

77.8% 1.29 —
44.5% 2.24 —

Both to score

66.1% 1.51 —

Corners

76.0% 1.32 —
65.3% 1.53 —
54.1% 1.85 —
42.6% 2.35 —
32.5% 3.08 —
34.6% 2.89 —
45.9% 2.18 —
57.4% 1.74 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners

81.7% 1.22 —
68.2% 1.47 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away corners

57.7% 1.73 —
39.9% 2.51 —
24.8% 4.04 —

Cards

68.0% 1.47 —
48.6% 2.06 —
31.3% 3.19 —
18.9% 5.3 —
51.4% 1.95 —
68.7% 1.46 —
81.1% 1.23 —

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