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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-05

Gateshead – Hornchurch

Home 41% 2.46 fair
Draw 25% 3.95 fair
Away 34% 2.94 fair
Expected Goals2.74
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.1% → 40.7% +0.6 pp
Draw 25.2% → 25.3% +0.1 pp
Away 34.7% → 34.0% -0.7 pp
Over 2.5 49.8% → 51.9% +2.1 pp
Both teams to score 53.5% → 55.5% +1.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.67 → 2.74 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.42 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.7% 2.46 —
25.3% 3.95 —
34.0% 2.94 —
66.0% 1.51 —
59.3% 1.69 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Half-time result

35.8% 2.79 —
41.4% 2.41 —
22.7% 4.4 —

Half-time double chance

77.3% 1.29 —
64.2% 1.56 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Both halves

10.8% 9.29 —

HT/FT

26.4% 3.78 —
6.4% 15.67 —
3.0% 33.11 —
12.5% 8.01 —
14.9% 6.7 —
14.0% 7.12 —
4.0% 24.94 —
16.9% 5.91 —

HT/FT double chance

60.2% 1.66 —
56.0% 1.79 —
38.4% 2.61 —
38.6% 2.59 —
48.2% 2.08 —
30.3% 3.3 —
33.2% 3.01 —
45.2% 2.21 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.0% 1.32 —
51.9% 1.93 —
29.6% 3.38 —
24.0% 4.16 —
48.1% 2.08 —
70.4% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

70.1% 1.43 —
34.4% 2.91 —

Home team goals

76.4% 1.31 —
42.4% 2.36 —

Away team goals

72.6% 1.38 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Both to score

55.5% 1.8 —

Corners

74.0% 1.35 —
62.9% 1.59 —
51.4% 1.95 —
40.2% 2.49 —
29.8% 3.35 —
37.1% 2.7 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.8% 1.67 —
70.2% 1.42 —

Home corners

73.1% 1.37 —
56.8% 1.76 —
40.9% 2.44 —

Away corners

66.6% 1.5 —
49.2% 2.03 —
33.4% 2.99 —

Cards

63.6% 1.57 —
43.6% 2.29 —
26.6% 3.77 —
15.0% 6.66 —
56.4% 1.77 —
73.5% 1.36 —
85.0% 1.18 —

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