Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-05
Strasbourg – Lorient
Home
50%
2.0 fair
Draw
24%
4.17 fair
Away
26%
3.83 fair
Expected Goals3.0
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.3%
→
49.9%
-3.4 pp
Draw
21.7%
→
24.0%
+2.2 pp
Away
25.0%
→
26.1%
+1.1 pp
Over 2.5
60.3%
→
57.4%
-2.9 pp
Both teams to score
59.7%
→
58.6%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.14 →
3.0
-0.14
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.51 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.03 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.62 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.09 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.61 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.13 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Total goals
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Both to score
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
Corners
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — |
Home corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — |
Away corners
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — |
Cards
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds