Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-05
Paris FC – Le Mans
Home
64%
1.57 fair
Draw
20%
4.97 fair
Away
16%
6.21 fair
Expected Goals3.05
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.5%
→
63.7%
+13.2 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
20.1%
-2.2 pp
Away
27.1%
→
16.1%
-11.0 pp
Over 2.5
65.4%
→
58.9%
-6.5 pp
Both teams to score
65.1%
→
53.5%
-11.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.36 →
3.05
-0.31
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — | |||
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.62 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.65 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 32.79 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 11.98 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — |
Total goals
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Both to score
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Away corners
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — |
Cards
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds