Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-05
Lille – Auxerre
Home
62%
1.61 fair
Draw
23%
4.42 fair
Away
15%
6.6 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
59.3%
→
62.3%
+2.9 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
22.6%
-0.8 pp
Away
17.3%
→
15.2%
-2.2 pp
Over 2.5
45.3%
→
46.2%
+0.9 pp
Both teams to score
44.4%
→
43.5%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.49 →
2.51
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Both halves
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.68 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.42 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.47 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.37 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Total goals
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — |
Both to score
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Corners
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Away corners
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — |
Cards
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds