Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-05
Lens – Le Havre
Home
68%
1.47 fair
Draw
20%
5.08 fair
Away
12%
8.22 fair
Expected Goals2.84
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.0%
→
68.1%
+3.1 pp
Draw
20.7%
→
19.7%
-1.0 pp
Away
14.3%
→
12.2%
-2.1 pp
Over 2.5
49.6%
→
54.1%
+4.6 pp
Both teams to score
44.4%
→
46.7%
+2.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.65 →
2.84
+0.19
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.22 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.94 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 28.01 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.0 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.04 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.62 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.87 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Away team goals
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
Both to score
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Corners
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Away corners
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — |
Cards
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds