Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-05
AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven
Home
25%
4.02 fair
Draw
20%
4.9 fair
Away
55%
1.83 fair
Expected Goals3.72
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score69%
Over 2.572%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.0%
→
24.9%
-3.1 pp
Draw
20.0%
→
20.4%
+0.4 pp
Away
52.0%
→
54.7%
+2.7 pp
Over 2.5
73.5%
→
71.5%
-1.9 pp
Both teams to score
71.0%
→
69.0%
-2.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.83 →
3.72
-0.11
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
Both halves
| 5.9% | 17.01 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.62 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 7.4% | 13.44 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.12 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.09 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
Total goals
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.56 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
1st-half goals
| 84.4% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — |
Both to score
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
Corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Away corners
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Cards
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds