Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-05
Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen
Home
29%
3.44 fair
Draw
23%
4.29 fair
Away
48%
2.1 fair
Expected Goals3.2
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.7%
→
29.1%
+0.4 pp
Draw
23.3%
→
23.3%
-0.0 pp
Away
48.0%
→
47.6%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
60.2%
→
61.7%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
61.5%
→
62.8%
+1.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.13 →
3.2
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 6.7% | 14.88 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.35 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.34 | — | |||
| 9.5% | 10.55 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.15 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.12 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.48 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — |
Both to score
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Corners
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Home corners
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Away corners
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — |
Cards
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds