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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-05

Nott'm Forest – Brighton

Home 32% 3.12 fair
Draw 25% 3.94 fair
Away 43% 2.35 fair
Expected Goals2.72
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.4% → 32.1% -2.3 pp
Draw 25.8% → 25.4% -0.4 pp
Away 39.8% → 42.5% +2.7 pp
Over 2.5 52.1% → 51.3% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 56.6% → 54.9% -1.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.77 → 2.72 -0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.87 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.07 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.1% 3.12 —
25.4% 3.94 —
42.5% 2.35 —
57.5% 1.74 —
67.9% 1.47 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Half-time result

34.8% 2.87 —
39.0% 2.57 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Half-time double chance

73.8% 1.36 —
65.2% 1.53 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.45 —

HT/FT

23.5% 4.26 —
7.5% 13.32 —
3.8% 26.39 —
7.8% 12.9 —
14.6% 6.84 —
16.6% 6.02 —
3.3% 30.58 —
22.1% 4.52 —

HT/FT double chance

53.3% 1.87 —
51.6% 1.94 —
42.5% 2.35 —
35.1% 2.85 —
50.3% 1.99 —
36.7% 2.73 —
26.5% 3.78 —
47.3% 2.11 —
56.6% 1.77 —

Total goals

93.5% 1.07 —
75.5% 1.33 —
51.3% 1.95 —
29.0% 3.45 —
24.6% 4.07 —
48.7% 2.05 —
71.0% 1.41 —

1st-half goals

73.9% 1.35 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Home team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
35.5% 2.81 —

Away team goals

77.3% 1.29 —
43.2% 2.32 —

Both to score

54.9% 1.82 —

Corners

71.3% 1.4 —
61.1% 1.64 —
50.9% 1.96 —
40.1% 2.5 —
30.8% 3.24 —
38.9% 2.57 —
49.1% 2.04 —
59.9% 1.67 —
69.2% 1.45 —

Home corners

66.6% 1.5 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Away corners

68.4% 1.46 —
52.9% 1.89 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Cards

72.0% 1.39 —
54.4% 1.84 —
38.0% 2.63 —
25.0% 4.0 —
45.6% 2.19 —
62.0% 1.61 —
75.0% 1.33 —

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