Chelsea – Liverpool
Home
36%
2.77 fair
Draw
23%
4.33 fair
Away
41%
2.45 fair
Expected Goals3.18
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.2%
→
36.1%
+1.8 pp
Draw
22.9%
→
23.1%
+0.2 pp
Away
42.8%
→
40.8%
-2.0 pp
Over 2.5
62.9%
→
61.2%
-1.7 pp
Both teams to score
64.1%
→
63.2%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.23 →
3.18
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 9.4% | 10.68 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.99 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.23 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Both to score
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Away corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Cards
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds