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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-05

Bournemouth – Hull

Home 43% 2.32 fair
Draw 28% 3.53 fair
Away 28% 3.51 fair
Expected Goals2.23
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.3% → 43.1% +10.9 pp
Draw 30.6% → 28.4% -2.2 pp
Away 37.1% → 28.5% -8.7 pp
Over 2.5 35.0% → 38.8% +3.8 pp
Both teams to score 42.1% → 44.4% +2.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.1 → 2.23 +0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.1% 2.32 —
28.4% 3.53 —
28.5% 3.51 —
71.5% 1.4 —
56.9% 1.76 —
71.7% 1.4 —

Half-time result

34.4% 2.91 —
45.7% 2.19 —
19.9% 5.02 —

Half-time double chance

80.1% 1.25 —
65.6% 1.52 —
54.3% 1.84 —

Both halves

10.8% 9.23 —

HT/FT

27.5% 3.63 —
5.1% 19.42 —
14.3% 7.01 —
19.1% 5.24 —
12.3% 8.1 —
4.1% 24.33 —
14.4% 6.93 —

HT/FT double chance

66.0% 1.51 —
55.9% 1.79 —
38.3% 2.61 —
38.1% 2.62 —
45.0% 2.22 —
25.4% 3.94 —
38.8% 2.58 —
42.4% 2.36 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Total goals

89.1% 1.12 —
65.2% 1.53 —
38.8% 2.58 —
18.8% 5.32 —
34.8% 2.88 —
61.2% 1.63 —
81.2% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

63.8% 1.57 —
27.4% 3.65 —

Home team goals

71.9% 1.39 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Away team goals

61.6% 1.62 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Both to score

44.4% 2.25 —

Corners

77.9% 1.28 —
68.7% 1.46 —
58.5% 1.71 —
48.5% 2.06 —
38.6% 2.59 —
31.3% 3.19 —
41.5% 2.41 —
51.5% 1.94 —
61.4% 1.63 —

Home corners

81.0% 1.23 —
68.6% 1.46 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Away corners

60.1% 1.66 —
43.8% 2.28 —
29.9% 3.35 —

Cards

77.4% 1.29 —
60.9% 1.64 —
44.1% 2.27 —
29.8% 3.36 —
39.1% 2.56 —
55.9% 1.79 —
70.2% 1.42 —

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