Aston Villa – Crystal Palace
Home
55%
1.8 fair
Draw
23%
4.36 fair
Away
22%
4.62 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.9%
→
55.5%
+5.5 pp
Draw
24.5%
→
22.9%
-1.6 pp
Away
25.6%
→
21.6%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
51.4%
→
55.7%
+4.3 pp
Both teams to score
53.6%
→
55.6%
+2.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.72 →
2.93
+0.21
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.62 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — |
HT/FT
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.24 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.58 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.05 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.33 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Both to score
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Away corners
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Cards
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds