Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-17 19:00
Las Palmas – Castellon
Home
40%
2.48 fair
Draw
26%
3.84 fair
Away
34%
2.97 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Las Palmas – Castellon
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Las Palmas – Castellon
Expected Goals2.7
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.8%
→
40.3%
-1.5 pp
Draw
26.6%
→
26.0%
-0.5 pp
Away
31.6%
→
33.7%
+2.1 pp
Over 2.5
47.2%
→
50.7%
+3.5 pp
Both teams to score
51.9%
→
54.8%
+2.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.57 →
2.7
+0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 10.5% | 9.5 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.89 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.4 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.77 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.22 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 92.9% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Both to score
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — |
Corners
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Away corners
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Cards
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds