Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-12 14:15
Burgos – Granada
Home
45%
2.23 fair
Draw
28%
3.52 fair
Away
27%
3.74 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Burgos – Granada
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Burgos – Granada
Expected Goals2.21
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.6%
→
44.8%
+1.2 pp
Draw
29.1%
→
28.4%
-0.7 pp
Away
27.3%
→
26.8%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
37.0%
→
38.1%
+1.0 pp
Both teams to score
43.3%
→
43.6%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.18 →
2.21
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.56 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.37 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.86 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.08 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Total goals
| 88.9% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.23 | — |
Both to score
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Corners
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Away corners
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — |
Cards
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds