Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-10 14:15
Ceuta – Sabadell
Home
25%
4.01 fair
Draw
30%
3.34 fair
Away
45%
2.22 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Ceuta – Sabadell
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Ceuta – Sabadell
Expected Goals1.99
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.532%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
19.6%
→
24.9%
+5.4 pp
Draw
24.6%
→
30.0%
+5.4 pp
Away
55.8%
→
45.1%
-10.8 pp
Over 2.5
44.0%
→
32.4%
-11.7 pp
Both teams to score
44.9%
→
38.5%
-6.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.43 →
1.99
-0.44
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Total goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.16 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — |
Home team goals
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — |
Both to score
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Corners
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — |
Home corners
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
Away corners
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Cards
| 88.1% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds