Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-03 14:15
Almeria – Burgos
Home
49%
2.05 fair
Draw
26%
3.87 fair
Away
25%
3.94 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Almeria – Burgos
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Almeria – Burgos
Expected Goals2.57
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.6%
→
48.8%
+0.2 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
25.8%
+0.2 pp
Away
25.8%
→
25.4%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
48.7%
→
47.1%
-1.6 pp
Both teams to score
51.6%
→
50.3%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.61 →
2.57
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 14.0% | 7.12 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.42 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.95 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — |
Both to score
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — |
Corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Away corners
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — |
Cards
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds