Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-20 19:45
Milan – Lecce
Home
75%
1.34 fair
Draw
17%
6.03 fair
Away
9%
11.48 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Milan – Lecce
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Milan – Lecce
Expected Goals2.95
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.556%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 74.7% | 1.34 | 74.8% | 1.27 | ||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | 16.5% | 5.75 | ||
| 8.7% | 11.48 | 8.6% | 11.00 | ||
| 91.3% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.88 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.08 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | 56.9% | 1.67 | ||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | 43.1% | 2.20 | ||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Home team goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Away team goals
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.41 | — |
Both to score
| 42.6% | 2.34 | — |
Corners
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.44 | — |
Cards
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds