Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-20 11:30

Fiorentina Napoli

Home 29% 3.44 fair
Draw 25% 3.96 fair
Away 46% 2.19 fair
Expected Goals2.71
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.551%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 8.4 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.13 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.1% 3.44 28.8% 3.30
25.2% 3.96 28.0% 3.40
45.7% 2.19 43.2% 2.20
54.3% 1.84
70.9% 1.41
74.7% 1.34

Half-time result

24.1% 4.15
41.1% 2.43
34.8% 2.88

Half-time double chance

65.2% 1.53
75.9% 1.32
58.9% 1.7

Both halves

6.2% 16.23

HT/FT

16.7% 6.0
5.0% 19.96
10.7% 9.38
15.1% 6.62
15.4% 6.5
5.1% 19.42
27.9% 3.59

HT/FT double chance

47.4% 2.11
45.1% 2.22
37.9% 2.64
28.6% 3.5
48.7% 2.05
40.5% 2.47
32.6% 3.06
55.6% 1.8
63.5% 1.57

Total goals

93.4% 1.07
75.3% 1.33
50.9% 1.96 51.3% 1.88
28.7% 3.49
24.7% 4.05
49.0% 2.04 48.7% 1.98
71.3% 1.4

1st-half goals

71.3% 1.4
35.8% 2.8

Home team goals

68.9% 1.45
32.9% 3.04

Away team goals

78.8% 1.27
45.5% 2.2

Both to score

54.3% 1.84

Corners

57.2% 1.75
45.4% 2.21
34.7% 2.88
25.6% 3.91
17.7% 5.65
54.6% 1.83
65.3% 1.53
74.5% 1.34
82.3% 1.22

Home corners

53.8% 1.86
37.0% 2.7
23.4% 4.28

Away corners

60.2% 1.66
43.8% 2.28
29.7% 3.36

Cards

74.1% 1.35
56.2% 1.78
39.0% 2.56
25.0% 3.99
43.8% 2.28
61.0% 1.64
75.0% 1.33

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds