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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-20 11:30

Fiorentina – Napoli

Home 29% 3.44 fair
Draw 25% 3.96 fair
Away 46% 2.19 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Fiorentina – Napoli
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Fiorentina – Napoli
Expected Goals2.71
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.551%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.4 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.13 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.1% 3.44 28.8% 3.30
25.2% 3.96 28.0% 3.40
45.7% 2.19 43.2% 2.20
54.3% 1.84 —
70.9% 1.41 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Half-time result

24.1% 4.15 —
41.1% 2.43 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Half-time double chance

65.2% 1.53 —
75.9% 1.32 —
58.9% 1.7 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.23 —

HT/FT

16.7% 6.0 —
5.0% 19.96 —
10.7% 9.38 —
15.1% 6.62 —
15.4% 6.5 —
5.1% 19.42 —
27.9% 3.59 —

HT/FT double chance

47.4% 2.11 —
45.1% 2.22 —
37.9% 2.64 —
28.6% 3.5 —
48.7% 2.05 —
40.5% 2.47 —
32.6% 3.06 —
55.6% 1.8 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Total goals

93.4% 1.07 —
75.3% 1.33 —
50.9% 1.96 51.3% 1.88
28.7% 3.49 —
24.7% 4.05 —
49.0% 2.04 48.7% 1.98
71.3% 1.4 —

1st-half goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.8% 2.8 —

Home team goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Away team goals

78.8% 1.27 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Both to score

54.3% 1.84 —

Corners

57.2% 1.75 —
45.4% 2.21 —
34.7% 2.88 —
25.6% 3.91 —
17.7% 5.65 —
54.6% 1.83 —
65.3% 1.53 —
74.5% 1.34 —
82.3% 1.22 —

Home corners

53.8% 1.86 —
37.0% 2.7 —
23.4% 4.28 —

Away corners

60.2% 1.66 —
43.8% 2.28 —
29.7% 3.36 —

Cards

74.1% 1.35 —
56.2% 1.78 —
39.0% 2.56 —
25.0% 3.99 —
43.8% 2.28 —
61.0% 1.64 —
75.0% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds