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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-18 19:45

Monza – Sassuolo

Home 36% 2.81 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 39% 2.54 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Monza – Sassuolo
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Monza – Sassuolo
Expected Goals2.85
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.554%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.51 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.6% 2.81 35.0% 2.70
25.0% 4.0 27.8% 3.40
39.4% 2.54 37.1% 2.55
60.6% 1.65 —
64.4% 1.55 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

30.8% 3.25 —
38.5% 2.6 —
30.7% 3.26 —

Half-time double chance

69.3% 1.44 —
69.2% 1.45 —
61.5% 1.63 —

Both halves

9.0% 11.11 —

HT/FT

22.9% 4.37 —
5.5% 18.21 —
10.8% 9.25 —
14.6% 6.85 —
13.1% 7.65 —
4.9% 20.41 —
23.9% 4.19 —

HT/FT double chance

53.8% 1.86 —
49.2% 2.03 —
35.6% 2.81 —
35.2% 2.84 —
51.1% 1.96 —
36.7% 2.72 —
32.2% 3.1 —
49.7% 2.01 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
78.0% 1.28 —
54.4% 1.84 54.8% 1.73
31.8% 3.15 —
21.9% 4.56 —
45.6% 2.19 45.2% 2.10
68.2% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

75.3% 1.33 —
41.0% 2.44 —

Home team goals

74.9% 1.33 —
40.6% 2.46 —

Away team goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Both to score

57.7% 1.73 —

Corners

65.0% 1.54 —
54.0% 1.85 —
43.0% 2.33 —
33.0% 3.03 —
23.9% 4.19 —
46.0% 2.18 —
57.0% 1.75 —
67.0% 1.49 —
76.1% 1.31 —

Home corners

69.6% 1.44 —
54.2% 1.84 —
40.1% 2.5 —

Away corners

54.4% 1.84 —
37.6% 2.66 —
24.5% 4.08 —

Cards

78.2% 1.28 —
62.3% 1.61 —
45.5% 2.2 —
30.8% 3.25 —
37.7% 2.65 —
54.5% 1.84 —
69.2% 1.45 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds