Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-20 20:30
Porto – Benfica
Home
35%
2.84 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
38%
2.6 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Porto – Benfica
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Porto – Benfica
Expected Goals2.7
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.550%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.2% | 2.84 | 34.9% | 2.65 | ||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | 28.1% | 3.30 | ||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | 37.0% | 2.50 | ||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 12.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.15 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Total goals
| 92.9% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | 51.3% | 1.88 | ||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | 48.7% | 1.98 | ||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Both to score
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — |
Corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — |
Away corners
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — |
Cards
| 85.1% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds