Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-19 20:30
Sp Lisbon – Arouca
Home
78%
1.29 fair
Draw
14%
7.02 fair
Away
8%
12.14 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Sp Lisbon – Arouca
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Sp Lisbon – Arouca
Expected Goals3.38
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.566%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 77.5% | 1.29 | 78.2% | 1.19 | ||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | 13.3% | 7.00 | ||
| 8.2% | 12.14 | 8.5% | 11.00 | ||
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — |
Half-time result
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.53 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
Both halves
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 24.1 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.82 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.7 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.83 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — |
Total goals
| 96.5% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | 65.2% | 1.44 | ||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | 34.8% | 2.70 | ||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.7 | — |
Both to score
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — |
Corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
Away corners
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.76 | — |
Cards
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds