Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-19 20:30

Sp Lisbon Arouca

Home 78% 1.29 fair
Draw 14% 7.02 fair
Away 8% 12.14 fair
Expected Goals3.38
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.566%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 3.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 10.24 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 6.31 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

77.5% 1.29 78.2% 1.19
14.2% 7.02 13.3% 7.00
8.2% 12.14 8.5% 11.00
91.8% 1.09
22.5% 4.45
85.8% 1.17

Half-time result

65.5% 1.53
28.0% 3.57
6.4% 15.53

Half-time double chance

93.5% 1.07
34.5% 2.9
72.0% 1.39

Both halves

36.4% 2.75

HT/FT

60.3% 1.66
4.2% 24.1
15.7% 6.37
8.5% 11.82
3.9% 25.91
3.3% 30.21

HT/FT double chance

88.6% 1.13
81.0% 1.24
17.5% 5.7
67.6% 1.48
66.2% 1.51
10.2% 9.83
27.3% 3.67
24.4% 4.1
17.3% 5.79

Total goals

96.5% 1.04
84.6% 1.18
65.5% 1.53 65.2% 1.44
43.7% 2.29
15.4% 6.49
34.4% 2.9 34.8% 2.70
56.3% 1.78

1st-half goals

79.3% 1.26
47.6% 2.1

Home team goals

92.6% 1.08
73.7% 1.36

Away team goals

52.7% 1.9
17.5% 5.7

Both to score

48.9% 2.05

Corners

73.7% 1.36
64.0% 1.56
53.6% 1.86
43.7% 2.29
34.2% 2.93
36.0% 2.78
46.4% 2.16
56.3% 1.77
65.8% 1.52

Home corners

88.6% 1.13
79.9% 1.25
68.9% 1.45

Away corners

29.3% 3.41
15.9% 6.29
7.8% 12.76

Cards

89.3% 1.12
79.5% 1.26
67.8% 1.48
55.2% 1.81
20.5% 4.89
32.2% 3.1
44.8% 2.23

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds