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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-04

St Etienne – Nancy

Home 57% 1.75 fair
Draw 23% 4.38 fair
Away 20% 5.03 fair
Expected Goals2.74
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 66.2% → 57.3% -8.9 pp
Draw 19.4% → 22.8% +3.5 pp
Away 14.5% → 19.9% +5.4 pp
Over 2.5 58.2% → 51.5% -6.7 pp
Both teams to score 52.1% → 51.2% -0.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.06 → 2.74 -0.32
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.1 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.63 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.3% 1.75 —
22.8% 4.38 —
19.9% 5.03 —
80.1% 1.25 —
42.7% 2.34 —
77.2% 1.3 —

Half-time result

45.0% 2.22 —
41.4% 2.42 —
13.6% 7.36 —

Half-time double chance

86.4% 1.16 —
55.0% 1.82 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Both halves

19.2% 5.19 —

HT/FT

37.6% 2.66 —
5.4% 18.48 —
17.8% 5.62 —
14.2% 7.05 —
9.4% 10.6 —
3.2% 30.86 —
8.4% 11.86 —

HT/FT double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
66.8% 1.5 —
31.0% 3.22 —
48.1% 2.08 —
50.0% 2.0 —
19.1% 5.24 —
37.1% 2.69 —
37.5% 2.66 —
35.3% 2.83 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.6% 1.32 —
51.5% 1.94 —
29.3% 3.41 —
24.4% 4.1 —
48.5% 2.06 —
70.7% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

67.1% 1.49 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Home team goals

83.1% 1.2 —
53.1% 1.88 —

Away team goals

61.3% 1.63 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Both to score

51.2% 1.95 —

Corners

64.8% 1.54 —
53.2% 1.88 —
41.9% 2.39 —
31.9% 3.14 —
23.5% 4.26 —
46.8% 2.14 —
58.1% 1.72 —
68.1% 1.47 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Home corners

73.0% 1.37 —
58.3% 1.72 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Away corners

49.9% 2.01 —
33.0% 3.03 —
20.2% 4.95 —

Cards

79.2% 1.26 —
63.5% 1.58 —
47.1% 2.12 —
32.6% 3.06 —
36.5% 2.74 —
52.9% 1.89 —
67.3% 1.48 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds