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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-04

Montpellier – Nantes

Home 61% 1.64 fair
Draw 24% 4.15 fair
Away 15% 6.76 fair
Expected Goals2.4
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.9% → 61.1% -4.8 pp
Draw 20.4% → 24.1% +3.6 pp
Away 13.7% → 14.8% +1.1 pp
Over 2.5 52.8% → 42.6% -10.1 pp
Both teams to score 46.9% → 41.1% -5.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.8 → 2.4 -0.4
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.72 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.75 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

61.1% 1.64 —
24.1% 4.15 —
14.8% 6.76 —
85.2% 1.17 —
38.9% 2.57 —
75.9% 1.32 —

Half-time result

26.0% 3.84 —
51.3% 1.95 —
22.6% 4.42 —

Half-time double chance

77.4% 1.29 —
74.0% 1.35 —
48.7% 2.05 —

Both halves

15.9% 6.3 —

HT/FT

24.0% 4.16 —
31.2% 3.21 —
15.8% 6.34 —
4.4% 22.83 —
5.9% 16.89 —
6.6% 15.15 —
10.1% 9.89 —

HT/FT double chance

72.7% 1.38 —
59.9% 1.67 —
22.1% 4.51 —
38.3% 2.61 —
40.4% 2.48 —
18.7% 5.34 —
59.5% 1.68 —
51.6% 1.94 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Total goals

90.6% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —
42.6% 2.34 —
22.5% 4.44 —
31.1% 3.22 —
57.4% 1.74 —
77.5% 1.29 —

1st-half goals

56.5% 1.77 —
20.3% 4.92 —

Home team goals

81.5% 1.23 —
50.6% 1.97 —

Away team goals

50.2% 1.99 —
15.5% 6.45 —

Both to score

41.1% 2.43 —

Corners

70.4% 1.42 —
59.7% 1.68 —
48.7% 2.05 —
38.5% 2.6 —
29.3% 3.41 —
40.3% 2.48 —
51.3% 1.95 —
61.6% 1.62 —
70.7% 1.41 —

Home corners

73.4% 1.36 —
57.9% 1.73 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Away corners

60.6% 1.65 —
43.9% 2.28 —
29.1% 3.44 —

Cards

79.6% 1.26 —
64.5% 1.55 —
49.1% 2.04 —
34.7% 2.88 —
35.5% 2.81 —
50.9% 1.96 —
65.3% 1.53 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds