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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-04

Clermont – Metz

Home 26% 3.86 fair
Draw 24% 4.09 fair
Away 50% 2.01 fair
Expected Goals2.77
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 21.4% → 25.9% +4.5 pp
Draw 26.1% → 24.4% -1.6 pp
Away 52.5% → 49.6% -2.9 pp
Over 2.5 42.4% → 52.0% +9.6 pp
Both teams to score 45.1% → 53.9% +8.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.77 +0.39
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.47 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.64 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

25.9% 3.86 —
24.4% 4.09 —
49.6% 2.01 —
50.4% 1.99 —
74.1% 1.35 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Half-time result

12.6% 7.92 —
41.0% 2.44 —
46.3% 2.16 —

Half-time double chance

53.6% 1.86 —
87.4% 1.14 —
59.0% 1.7 —

Both halves

4.2% 23.58 —

HT/FT

9.1% 11.0 —
13.3% 7.51 —
14.4% 6.93 —
13.3% 7.54 —
3.5% 28.57 —
7.7% 12.92 —
35.1% 2.85 —

HT/FT double chance

39.1% 2.56 —
36.9% 2.71 —
31.2% 3.2 —
22.6% 4.42 —
49.0% 2.04 —
46.4% 2.16 —
39.0% 2.56 —
65.2% 1.53 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.1% 1.31 —
52.0% 1.92 —
30.3% 3.3 —
23.9% 4.19 —
48.0% 2.08 —
69.7% 1.44 —

1st-half goals

67.6% 1.48 —
31.2% 3.21 —

Home team goals

67.0% 1.49 —
31.0% 3.23 —

Away team goals

80.5% 1.24 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Both to score

53.9% 1.86 —

Corners

68.4% 1.46 —
57.1% 1.75 —
46.0% 2.18 —
35.8% 2.79 —
26.6% 3.76 —
42.9% 2.33 —
54.0% 1.85 —
64.2% 1.56 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Home corners

64.4% 1.55 —
47.3% 2.11 —
32.6% 3.07 —

Away corners

66.6% 1.5 —
50.4% 1.99 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Cards

66.8% 1.5 —
47.6% 2.1 —
30.9% 3.24 —
18.6% 5.38 —
52.4% 1.91 —
69.2% 1.45 —
81.4% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds