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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-04

Boulogne – Pau FC

Home 39% 2.59 fair
Draw 28% 3.63 fair
Away 34% 2.95 fair
Expected Goals2.42
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.8% → 38.6% +4.8 pp
Draw 28.0% → 27.6% -0.4 pp
Away 38.3% → 33.9% -4.4 pp
Over 2.5 41.9% → 43.6% +1.7 pp
Both teams to score 48.0% → 49.0% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.42 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.6% 2.59 —
27.6% 3.63 —
33.9% 2.95 —
66.1% 1.51 —
61.4% 1.63 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Half-time result

18.4% 5.43 —
46.5% 2.15 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Half-time double chance

64.9% 1.54 —
81.6% 1.23 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Both halves

7.6% 13.07 —

HT/FT

14.7% 6.79 —
19.5% 5.13 —
17.0% 5.87 —
9.9% 10.07 —
4.3% 22.99 —
7.7% 13.05 —
23.1% 4.33 —

HT/FT double chance

54.1% 1.85 —
45.0% 2.22 —
30.7% 3.26 —
29.6% 3.38 —
43.0% 2.33 —
34.5% 2.9 —
48.5% 2.06 —
56.9% 1.76 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Total goals

90.8% 1.1 —
69.3% 1.44 —
43.6% 2.29 —
22.8% 4.38 —
30.7% 3.25 —
56.4% 1.77 —
77.2% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

62.1% 1.61 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Home team goals

71.3% 1.4 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Away team goals

68.5% 1.46 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Both to score

49.0% 2.04 —

Corners

61.1% 1.64 —
49.4% 2.02 —
38.4% 2.61 —
28.5% 3.51 —
20.1% 4.97 —
50.6% 1.98 —
61.6% 1.62 —
71.5% 1.4 —
79.9% 1.25 —

Home corners

60.1% 1.66 —
43.0% 2.32 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Away corners

59.8% 1.67 —
42.9% 2.33 —
28.3% 3.53 —

Cards

82.2% 1.22 —
67.7% 1.48 —
51.9% 1.93 —
37.8% 2.65 —
32.3% 3.1 —
48.1% 2.08 —
62.2% 1.61 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds