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Fixtures / National League / 2026-09-19 12:30

Hartlepool – Worthing

Home 43% 2.3 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 32% 3.15 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Hartlepool – Worthing
FINAL Actual Result 1–3 Hartlepool – Worthing
Expected Goals2.93
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.47 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.4% 2.3 43.3% 2.10
24.8% 4.03 25.3% 3.60
31.8% 3.15 31.4% 2.90
68.2% 1.47 —
56.6% 1.77 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

18.0% 5.56 —
50.4% 1.98 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Half-time double chance

68.4% 1.46 —
82.0% 1.22 —
49.6% 2.02 —

Both halves

8.5% 11.74 —

HT/FT

14.1% 7.1 —
23.4% 4.27 —
15.1% 6.64 —
11.9% 8.38 —
5.9% 17.04 —
7.1% 14.03 —
18.6% 5.38 —

HT/FT double chance

55.2% 1.81 —
50.7% 1.97 —
30.9% 3.24 —
29.7% 3.36 —
39.8% 2.51 —
29.6% 3.38 —
51.5% 1.94 —
59.9% 1.67 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Total goals

94.5% 1.06 —
78.6% 1.27 —
55.6% 1.8 56.3% 1.67
33.6% 2.98 —
21.4% 4.68 —
44.4% 2.25 43.7% 2.15
66.4% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

57.2% 1.75 —
21.0% 4.76 —

Home team goals

79.6% 1.26 —
47.1% 2.12 —

Away team goals

73.5% 1.36 —
38.4% 2.6 —

Both to score

58.6% 1.71 —

Corners

81.0% 1.23 —
70.7% 1.41 —
59.1% 1.69 —
46.9% 2.13 —
35.9% 2.79 —
29.3% 3.41 —
40.9% 2.44 —
53.0% 1.89 —
64.1% 1.56 —

Home corners

87.2% 1.15 —
75.7% 1.32 —
60.8% 1.65 —

Away corners

57.7% 1.73 —
38.4% 2.6 —
23.5% 4.26 —

Cards

75.2% 1.33 —
57.7% 1.73 —
41.0% 2.44 —
26.4% 3.78 —
42.3% 2.36 —
59.0% 1.69 —
73.6% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds