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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-20 19:45

Marseille – Paris SG

Home 13% 7.63 fair
Draw 17% 5.88 fair
Away 70% 1.43 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-2 Marseille – Paris SG
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Marseille – Paris SG
Expected Goals3.63
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.570%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.56 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

13.1% 7.63 13.5% 7.00
17.0% 5.88 18.9% 5.00
69.9% 1.43 67.6% 1.40
30.1% 3.32 —
86.9% 1.15 —
83.0% 1.2 —

Half-time result

13.9% 7.17 —
35.7% 2.8 —
50.4% 1.98 —

Half-time double chance

49.6% 2.01 —
86.1% 1.16 —
64.3% 1.55 —

HT/FT

6.3% 15.77 —
3.6% 28.01 —
4.0% 24.81 —
5.4% 18.66 —
9.3% 10.71 —
21.0% 4.76 —
4.1% 24.39 —
44.9% 2.23 —

HT/FT double chance

24.6% 4.07 —
36.7% 2.72 —
37.9% 2.64 —
15.4% 6.49 —
56.6% 1.77 —
56.6% 1.77 —
20.2% 4.95 —
72.6% 1.38 —
79.3% 1.26 —

Total goals

87.4% 1.14 —
69.6% 1.44 70.2% 1.36
48.9% 2.04 —
12.6% 7.94 —
30.4% 3.29 29.8% 3.20
51.0% 1.96 —

1st-half goals

75.0% 1.33 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Home team goals

64.9% 1.54 —
28.7% 3.49 —

Away team goals

92.6% 1.08 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Both to score

60.2% 1.66 —

Corners

59.3% 1.69 —
47.2% 2.12 —
36.1% 2.77 —
26.6% 3.76 —
18.8% 5.32 —
52.8% 1.89 —
63.8% 1.57 —
73.4% 1.36 —
81.2% 1.23 —

Home corners

57.4% 1.74 —
40.7% 2.46 —
27.0% 3.71 —

Away corners

59.0% 1.69 —
42.7% 2.34 —
28.2% 3.55 —

Cards

63.8% 1.57 —
43.9% 2.28 —
27.8% 3.59 —
16.0% 6.23 —
56.1% 1.78 —
72.2% 1.39 —
84.0% 1.19 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds