Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-20 19:45

Marseille Paris SG

Home 13% 7.63 fair
Draw 17% 5.88 fair
Away 70% 1.43 fair
Expected Goals3.63
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.570%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 3.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 8.56 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 3.46 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

13.1% 7.63 13.5% 7.00
17.0% 5.88 18.9% 5.00
69.9% 1.43 67.6% 1.40
30.1% 3.32
86.9% 1.15
83.0% 1.2

Half-time result

13.9% 7.17
35.7% 2.8
50.4% 1.98

Half-time double chance

49.6% 2.01
86.1% 1.16
64.3% 1.55

HT/FT

6.3% 15.77
3.6% 28.01
4.0% 24.81
5.4% 18.66
9.3% 10.71
21.0% 4.76
4.1% 24.39
44.9% 2.23

HT/FT double chance

24.6% 4.07
36.7% 2.72
37.9% 2.64
15.4% 6.49
56.6% 1.77
56.6% 1.77
20.2% 4.95
72.6% 1.38
79.3% 1.26

Total goals

87.4% 1.14
69.6% 1.44 70.2% 1.36
48.9% 2.04
12.6% 7.94
30.4% 3.29 29.8% 3.20
51.0% 1.96

1st-half goals

75.0% 1.33
40.5% 2.47

Home team goals

64.9% 1.54
28.7% 3.49

Away team goals

92.6% 1.08
72.4% 1.38

Both to score

60.2% 1.66

Corners

59.3% 1.69
47.2% 2.12
36.1% 2.77
26.6% 3.76
18.8% 5.32
52.8% 1.89
63.8% 1.57
73.4% 1.36
81.2% 1.23

Home corners

57.4% 1.74
40.7% 2.46
27.0% 3.71

Away corners

59.0% 1.69
42.7% 2.34
28.2% 3.55

Cards

63.8% 1.57
43.9% 2.28
27.8% 3.59
16.0% 6.23
56.1% 1.78
72.2% 1.39
84.0% 1.19

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds